What the S&P traded within 10 points of the all-time closing high for 13 sessions before breaking through, showing that investors need new catalysts to push firmly above resistance levels. YES!
As the market has gone higher ... upward moves have gotten smaller, which suggests that the move is getting old and that we are due a pullback. Stocks could fall about 3-4% anytime. It is just waiting for a catalysis.
What could it be in the coming weeks? With the first quarter earnings coming out, the softening of economic data will be a key to the future of the economy that most investors will be watching.
About 197,000 jobs were added in March, according to a Reuters poll of economists. That would be down from the 236,000 jobs created in the previous month but still suggest improvement in the labor market. The unemployment rate is seen holding steady at 7.7 percent.
A strong payroll report could spark caution if it raises questions about whether the Federal Reserve would be more inclined to reduce monetary stimulus more quickly. NOT.
If the central bank slows the rate of its monthly bond purchases, a program that has been credited with boosting equity prices, "that could cause some weakness.

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